Tag Archive: Spain


Job centre, Burgos, Spain

At 23.6%, Spain has the highest level of unemployment in

the eurozone

Unemployment across countries that use the euro edged higher in February to 10.8%.

That’s up from 10.7% in January and the highest level since the introduction of the single currency in 1999. Spain has the highest rate of 23.6%.

Meanwhile, a separate report confirmed that manufacturing activity in Europe shrank in February.

It is the eighth month in a row that the Purchasing Manager’s Index has been below 50, which indicates contraction.

‘Miserable March’

France was particularly weak, with manufacturing activity falling to the lowest level in almost three years.

“Eurozone manufacturers suffered a miserable March, with a renewed downturn in production wiping out marginal gains seen in the first two months of the year,” said Markit chief economist Chris Williamson.

Continue reading the main story

February unemployment rates

  • Spain 23.6%
  • Portugal 15.0%
  • France 10.0%
  • Italy 9.3%
  • Germany 5.7%

“Manufacturing is therefore likely to have acted as a drag on economic growth in the eurozone in the first quarter, falling to a lesser extent than in the final quarter of last year but nevertheless failing to prevent the economy sliding back into recession,” he said.

Other economists agree that the euro area is probably in recession.

“It looks odds-on that eurozone GDP contracted again in the first quarter of 2012, thereby moving into recession,” said Howard Archer, chief European economist at IHS Global Insight.

“And the prospects for the second quarter of 2012 currently hardly look rosy.”

The slowdown is creating a tough environment for job seekers. Italy saw unemployment hit 9.3% in February, the highest level since the country started collecting monthly figures in 2004.

For those aged between 15 and 24 the rate was 31.9%.

Prime Minister Mario Monti is trying to push through reform of the labour market, which he says will boost employment.

The lowest unemployment rates among countries that use the euro are to be found in Austria (4.2%), the Netherlands (4.9%) and Germany (5.7%).

Confidence among European business leaders has been undermined by Europe’s debt crisis.

Finance ministers will hope that an agreement to increase the size of the eurozone’s rescue fund will help bolster sentiment.

They agreed to boost the joint lending power of the “firewall” from 500bn euros ($668bn; £416bn) to 800bn euros ($1.1tn; £667bn).

The firewall is the permanent mechanism to bail out troubled euro zone nations.

 

Continue reading the main story

First deputy prime minister, government spokeswoman and minister of the prime minister"s office Soraya Saenz de Santamaria (C), Spain"s Minister of Industry, Energy and Tourism Jose Manuel Soria (R) and Spain"s Minister of Treasury and Civil Services Cristobal Montoro Romero

Deputy Prime Minister Soraya Saenz de Santamaria said “serious efforts” were needed

Spain is cutting 27bn euros ($36bn; £22.5bn) from its budget this year as part of one of the toughest austerity drives in its history.

Changes will include freezing public sector workers’ salaries and reducing departmental budgets by 16.9%.

The government says it will raise 12.3bn euros this year, aided by an increase in tax for large companies.

Deputy Prime Minister Soraya Saenz de Santamaria said the nation was in an “extreme situation”.

“Our top priority is to clean up public accounts,” she said.

“This is a moment that demands serious efforts to reduce spending but also structural reforms to cause the economy to grow and create jobs.”

But economists are questioning whether the cuts will be enough to satisfy Spain’s European partners.

‘Insufficient’ cuts

Continue reading the main story

Key points

  • Ministries’ budgets cut by up to 50%
  • Civil servants’ wages frozen
  • Electricity bills up 7% and gas up 5%
  • Unemployment benefit frozen
  • No rise in VAT
  • Pensions to rise in line with inflation
  • Corporation tax revenue to rise by reducing deductions companies can make
  • Amnesty on tax evasion in return for 10% fee

Last month Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy agreed with the European Commission to reduce Spain’s deficit from 8.5% to 5.3% of GDP in 2012.

Javier Diaz Gimenez, professor of economics at IESE Business School in Madrid, said: “This [budget] seems to be non-credible.

“They will not be making the 5.3% target agreed with Brussels, because the cuts are insufficient given the growth forecast,” he told BBC News.

This could mean further cuts are needed before long.

“I suspect that the government could be forced to implement further austerity measures later this year, with lingering economic downturn set to place additional strains on an already perilous budget deficit reduction plan,” said Raj Badiani, an economist at IHS Global Insight.

Continue reading the main story

“Start Quote

“You have the Greek model, or the Irish model. You can either go kicking or screaming, or you can bite the bullet, like people have done in Ireland.””

Gayle AllardEconomist

The main risk is that the government’s tax revenue projections for 2012 look too optimistic,” he said.

There are concerns, however, that even the latest spending cuts could further damage the chances of getting the Spanish economy growing again. It is in recession and is expected to shrink by 1.7% this year.

Soraya Saenz de Santamaria said this would not happen.

“Our obligation towards Spanish people and the rest of the EU citizens is to get public accounts into shape,” she said.

“Not at any cost, but with measures that support those citizens who need it the most and not paralysing a possible recovery or job creation.”

Budgets slashedUnder the 2012 budget the unemployed will see their benefits maintained and pensions will continue to rise.

Consumers have also been spared some pain as VAT will remain at its current level.

Continue reading the main story

image of Gavin HewittAnalysisGavin HewittEurope editor

A government minister said Spain needed to tighten up its finances to meet EU targets for reducing deficits without stifling economic growth and job creation.

That is the challenge.

Privately some in government accept these calculations involve a risk.

The economy is in recession and some predict it will shrink by around 2% this year – even before these savings are made.

The fear is that Spain could be tipped into a downward spiral.

But they can expect higher living costs as Energy Minister Jose Manuel Soria announced a 7% rise in electricity bills and 5% rise gas bills from 1 April.

The government is also going ahead with a previously-announced increase in income tax by 1.9%.

The 27bn euros of cuts is equivalent to 2.5% of the country’s economic output.

Amongst government ministries, the big losers are the foreign office, whose budget has been halved. Industry, energy and tourism will get a 32% cut, while the public works budget will be slashed by 34%.

More details will be published next Tuesday when the budget goes before Parliament. It is expected to be passed formally in June.

‘Not yielding’On Thursday, police clashed with demonstrators as hundreds of thousands swamped the streets in Barcelona and other cities.

Unions said 800,000 people joined the protest in Barcelona. Police put the number at 80,000.

Spanish protestersPlanned labour market reforms have proved deeply unpopular in Spain

Some marchers in the city smashed windows and set rubbish bins alight. Police fired tear gas and shot rubber bullets at the ground, TV pictures showed.

In the capital, Madrid, unions said about 900,000 people took part. The government did not give a figure.

The BBC’s Europe editor, Gavin Hewitt, says the size of the demonstrations on Thursday were an indication that many are losing patience with austerity.

Unemployment in Spain is currently the highest in the EU at 24%. Nearly half of Spain’s under-25s are out of work.

The general strike was the government’s first big challenge since Mariano Rajoy took office after elections last November.

Despite the opposition, the government says it is committed to reining in its spending.

“The question here is not whether the strike is honoured by many or few, but rather whether we get out of the crisis,” Mr Montoro said.

“That is what is at stake, and the government is not going to yield.”

Bailout fearsSeparately, eurozone ministers have agreed the expansion of Europe’s bailout reserves.

The ministers, meeting in Copenhagen, have decided to boost the joint lending power of the “firewall” to 800bn euros.

Investors – worried about a bailout for Spain or Italy – wanted the fund to increase from its current size of about 500bn euros to closer to 1 trillion euros. But there was resistance from Germany to an increase of that scale.

Spanish unemployment

Spain’s unemployment figure passed the five million mark in the last quarter of 2011, official figures show.

The National Statistics Institute said 5.3 million people were out of work at the end of December, up from 4.9 million in the third quarter.

The rate rose from 21.5% in the third quarter to 22.8% – the highest rate in nearly 17 years.

Spain already has the highest jobless rate in the 17-nation eurozone and is expected to slide back into recession.

The 22.8% rate is more than twice the average unemployment rate of the eurozone, which stood at 10.3% in November, according to data released earlier this month.

The Spanish figures show more than half of all 16-24 year-olds in the country are jobless – 51.4% compared with 45.8% before.

Spain’s new ruling Popular Party conservative government has pledged labour reforms to try to imporve the jobs market.

Continue reading the main story

Analysis

image of Tom Burridge Tom Burridge BBC News, Madrid

Rising unemployment is a double blow for the relatively new administration of Mariano Rajoy. The more people who are registered as out of work, the more the Spanish government has to pay out in unemployment benefits. And fewer people in work means fewer people paying income tax, so less revenue for the government.

On top of that, if people are not earning then they spend less and that is driving Spain into recession.

Unemployment has been high ever since 2008, when Spain’s housing boom burst and thousands of people working in the construction industry were laid off.

The Spanish government will soon announce labour reforms so that employers can hire and fire people more easily.

The last time I went to talk to people at a job centre in Madrid, people were waiting outside because there weren’t enough chairs inside.

On Thursday, public service employees staged a series of demonstrations across Spain to protest against unemployment and increasing austerity measures.

Budget cuts

Spain has struggled since the property bubble burst in 2008.

In the years between 2004 and 2008, the average house price in Spain rose 44%, Construction represented about 16% of GDP by the end of the boom, and the unemployment rate was down to 7.95%.

However, rising house prices fuelled the sub-prime mortgage market, leading the Spanish to borrow more as they struggled to get on the housing ladder.

The downturn has seen repossessions of Spanish properties rise 32% in the past year.

The range of austerity measures proposed by new Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy’s government angered many ahead of this week’s protests.

His measures include 8.9bn euros in new budget cuts, and tax increases designed to boost government coffers by 6.3bn euros.

However, there are concerns that Mr Rajoy will be unable to meet his pre-election pledge to cut the country’s deficit to 4.4% of GDP in 2012.

The Bank of Spain predicts the country’s economy will shrink by 1.5% this year, saying the eurozone debt crisis has destroyed business confidence and closed off bank credit, causing a large drop in domestic demand.

German car dealership Domestic demand for cars was strong, the Statistics Office said

The German economy is likely to have shrunk by 0.25% in the final quarter of 2011, an official from the Federal Statistics Office has said.

For the whole of 2011, the economy grew by 3%, official figures from the Statistics Office showed, driven by strong growth in the first half.

It said the impetus for growth was mainly provided by domestic demand.

However, the annual growth rate was weaker than the post-unification record of 3.7% seen a year earlier.

The annual figure was based on an estimate for the fourth quarter, with the official data for the last three months due to be published on 15 February.

But Norbert Raeth from the Statistics Office told a news conference that the economy was likely to have shrunk by “around a quarter of a percentage point” in the final quarter.

Although the 3% expansion in 2011 marked a slowdown in growth from 2010, it is still a strong figure compared with other economies.

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) expects growth in 2011 of 1.7% in the US, 0.9% in the UK, 1.6% in France and 0.7% in Spain and Italy.

“[Germany's] economy is above where it peaked in 2008. Unemployment is at 6.8%. It is still firing on all cylinders,” Jonathan Bell from Stanhope Capital told BBC World News.

“The difference is that it’s now seeing its growth slowing and I think that’s going to continue into next year.”

Rising car sales

Roderich Egeler, the head of the Statistics Office, told a news conference: “The economic recovery took place primarily in the first half of the year.”

Analysis

image of Stephen Evans Stephen Evans BBC News, Berlin

The old saying “it’s an ill wind that blows nobody any good” is doubly true for Germany.

Firstly, it’s finding it very easy to raise money. Earlier in the week, the Bundesbank auctioned 3.9bn euros worth of debt – in plain English: the government borrowed money and got lenders to bid for the lowest rate of interest they would accept for their loan.

Amazingly, the winning bids were at a negative rate of interest. In other words, institutions were prepared to pay the German government money in order to lend to it!

That’s because, compared with the rest of Europe, investors see Germany as a solid institution in which to park their money. And they think that if the euro collapses, the German economy will still be standing.

Secondly, because of the problems in Greece, Portugal, Ireland and Spain, the value of the euro against the dollar has fallen – by about 10% in the second half of last year. That makes German exports cheaper compared to US ones.

Nobody is saying it loudly but German exporters have had a bit of a fillip from the travails elsewhere.

Private consumption had been strong in 2011, he said, growing by 1.5%, up from 0.6% in 2010.

He added that demand for cars had been particularly strong, with German car sales rising by 6.1% in December.

Exports, the main driver of the German economy, rose by 8.2%, although this marked a slowdown from the 13.7% growth seen last year.

Andreas Rees, chief German economist at Unicredit, said he did not think Germany would fall into recession.

“We think growth of about 1% is possible for this year. The Ifo [business confidence] index has risen for the last two months. That indicates that the low point in terms of company sentiment might already be over,” he said.

“The labour market is also going very well. That gives tailwind to private consumption, at least in the first half.

“There is also hope from the US, where the economy is going better again. That will help us. It is a positive sign for exports, which are also profiting from the weak euro. The global economy is weakening, but we will not see a collapse.”

But Joerg Zeuner, chief economist at VP Bank, was more cautious and said that Germany could not isolate itself from the tensions within the eurozone.

“Another quarter of contraction and thereby a technical recession are distinctly possible,” he said.

“However if there is no further escalation in the eurozone debt crisis, the German economy should still grow in 2012, albeit at a moderate 0.5%,” he added.

Global Economy

A single firework explodes above the euro sculpture in front of the European Central Bank in Frankfurt
The number of jobless people in the
eurozone is at a record high.

Unemployment in the eurozone stayed at a record high in November as the impact of the sovereign debt crisis rumbled on, according to official figures.

The jobless rate in the 17 nations that use the euro was 10.3% in November for the second month in a row, according to the Eurostat statistics agency.

There were 16.3 million people in the bloc out of work.

At the same time, an index of consumer confidence fell to a two-year low in December, the European Commission said.

The economic sentiment indicator fell 0.5 to 93.3 in December, which was well below the long-term average of 100, the Commission said.

Howard Archer, an economist at IHS Global Insight, said that the data suggested that Europe’s economy had contracted in the last three months of 2011.

“Tighter fiscal policy, squeezed consumers, the seemingly never-ending eurozone sovereign debt crisis, weakened global growth and financial market turmoil are taking a serious toll on economic activity across the eurozone,” he said.

Spain’s unemployment rate was highest at 22.9%, accounting for more than a quarter of the total eurozone unemployment figure.

Spain’s rate was more than four times as high as in Austria, for example, where only 4% of people were jobless.

For the whole of the European Union, which includes countries such as the UK and Sweden that do not use the euro, the unemployment rate was 9.8%.

Separately, Eurostat said that eurozone retail sales fell 2.5% in November, compared with the same month the previous year.

The steepest declines were in Portugal, which was bailed out last April, where sales fell 9.2% from a year earlier.

But there were also declines in the richer, northern European countries that are lifting eurozone growth, with Germany and the Netherlands both seeing declining retail sales.

Global Economy

%d bloggers like this: